The Missing Link
Gosh, what a tough act to follow. Thanks Darth.
Hyrule.net is posting that the Regginator himself has finally gone on record and delayed Twilight Princess into fall according to a Spike TV interview. I went to the Spike TV website, trying to corroborate this, but I haven’t found it. However, before anyone starts throwing tomatoes at the messenger (in other words, me) for posting rumours, let me explain why I think this is no rumour.
Most of the Yanks out there will understand my analogy, but for those of you elsewhere who believe that “football” is a game where you actually kick a ball with your foot, I’m talking about American football. (Yes, I know the Americans are weird. C’est la vie.) There’s a concept in football called “the red zone”; this is defined as the last 20 yards of the field a team has before the other team scores a touchdown. They call it the “red zone” because it’s a danger flag for the team that they’re facing a do-or-die situation, and since red is associated to warning or danger, it’s not so difficult to figure out.
I use the Red Zone in release dates to describe the danger zone for announcing release dates. If a final release date has not yet been announced… and the intended release date (from the company’s perspective) is within the Red Zone, there is a huge danger that they will not make the intended release. Empirically, these seems to be around a three month period of time. So, that means that, if Nintendo were magically to give us a release date today, that would be that the earliest likely date that Twilight could be released would be the 19th of May.
However, my hunch is that Nintendo is going to springboard Zelda off at E3. This seems logical because it’ll be a good chance for them to rebuild the hype that’s been surrounding the game. In fact, I expect them to announce their release date at E3. As such, you’ve got to look at the Red Zone as of early May, which puts us all the way back to August at earliest. That’s just a stone’s throw from Q4 for the year, which puts a fall release as highly likely.
Now I know this will disappoint many of you, and I can see people finding nice fresh produce to throw at TML for this, but I’m not going to kid you and sugarcoat things, and I’m not going to say that you should feel absolutely great because of this. I do believe that this involves a corporate strategy for Nintendo, and whether or not you believe the rumours or not, having Twilight launch late in the year, supposedly near when the Revolution will launch, will be a huge deal because that will sell Revolutions, as if Zelda were a virtual launch title for the Revolution.
However, since I know I haven’t brought smiles to your faces yet, I’ll make you a deal. If anyone still believes so strongly in the April release date for Twilight Princess, pick a day of the month, from the 1st to the 30th, and post it in the comments section. If it turns out that the day you picked is indeed is the release date, I will post an update to the ‘Blog saying that so-and-so told me so, that TML is stupid, and that so-and-so is the smartest person ever.Follow This Entry | Read Other Posts by The Missing Link